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Introduction

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10
SIR ERNEST OPPENHEIMER
III
The emphasis in the preceding section has been placed on two elements in the history of the twentieth century—the immense change of scale, and the vast alterations in the political and social climate of the world. The former can be illustrated statistically more conveniently than the latter. Nevertheless, the fundamental characteristic of the political scene is the transition from the domination of the world by a few European 'Great Powers', the United States of America and Japan, to the multiplication of new independent or quasi-independent states in Europe, in Asia and, to an increasing extent, in Africa. War and revolution have destroyed the Russian,4 Austro-Hungarian, German and Turkish Empires; the British Empire has ceased to exist and has been replaced by an association of largely self-governing and virtually independent countries;5 the French Empire has undergone a somewhat similar change. The 'colonial empire' of Holland has all but disappeared: those of Belgium and Italy have vanished altogether. Since the end of World War I the spiritual and economic unity of Western civilization has been destroyed; two rival philosophies of government and of social and economic conduct compete for the adherence of the new states; not the 'Great Powers', but the 'Soviet bloc', the 'Western bloc' and the 'Afro-Asian bloc' maintain a precarious balance and use the nascent organ of world opinion, the' United Nations', as an instrument of persuasion, of propaganda, of collective effort and of political pressure. The really astonishing feature of the history of the world is that, in spite of the fall of empires, in spite of war, revolu­tion, inflation and the conflict of ideologies, all of them disruptive in their eftect upon the state of confidence, of investment and of enter­prise, material progress has continued, even upon an accelerated scale.
In that economic development the Union of South Africa, and, in later years, also the Federation of Rhodesia and Nyasaland, have fully shared. Moreover, however much the pattern of the distribution of benefits resulting from this development may have been distorted by racial policies, it is a development which has benefited all the diverse
4 Yet, in all probability, the replacement of Imperial Russia by the Union of Socialist Soviet Republics has not changed the underlying realities of centralized military and political power to any significant extent.
5 Only the future can tell whether the centrifugal forces now at work — exemplified by the decision of the Union of South Africa to leave the Commonwealth—will enable even this loose form of association to survive. The course of events in what was formerly the French Colonial Empire is not a very encouraging precedent.
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