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Ch. 8: Golden Semicircle

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492                                     SIR ERNEST OPPENHEIMER
Klerksdorp area and the Orange Free State area is mainly a matter of the last three decades and was achieved in the face of grave difficulties— technical, as well as financial and economic. For the time being, at least, the spectre of a decline in the aggregate output, which has haunted generation after generation, has receded; though this does not mean that the problem of declining output in the older areas has been disposed of, with all the social implications that such a decline carries with it. The differentiating issue for the gold-mining industry is not the relationship between the price of its product and the general level of costs with which it has to contend; in this respect it differs in no way from other industries. What does differentiate it is that for long periods of time the price of its product has remained constant, though the cost level may have gone up—in fact, the discovery and exploitation of the Witwatersrand gold-field, which coincided with an increasing output of gold in other parts of the world, initiated a long period of such rising prices. But changes in the price of gold have been the consequence of changes in the world's monetary situation, which have pushed the world's price level upwards, and such changes in the price of gold have tended to lag behind the changes in the world price level which were their initial cause. Historically, it is the case that a period of falling world prices, given a fixed gold price, have invariably stimu­lated the search for gold, not only in South Africa, but all over the world; periods of rising prices with a fixed gold price have discouraged gold-mining.1 It is thus no coincidence that the period of relatively low prices in the early thirties of this century, which marked the years of the great depression and which accompanied a marked rise in the price of gold, due to the de facto devaluations of the pound and dollar, should also have been the years when the first steps were taken which
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